Brazil vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
9.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
BRA
3 - 0
PAR
78%
13%
10%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1955 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHI
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHI
81%
12%
8%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1954 |
HUN
4 - 2
BRA
78%
12%
10%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1954 |
BRA
1 - 1
YUG
67%
17%
16%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
BRA
3 - 0
PAR
78%
13%
10%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1955 |
PER
1 - 1
PAR
73%
14%
12%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
CHI
5 - 0
PAR
65%
17%
18%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1955 |
PAR
2 - 0
ECU
90%
7%
3%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1955 |
URU
3 - 1
PAR
77%
13%
10%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |