Brazil vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
9.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHI
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
PAR
0 - 1
BRA
38%
22%
40%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
CHI
0 - 2
BRA
35%
22%
44%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1953 |
PAR
3 - 2
BRA
33%
22%
45%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1953 |
PAR
2 - 1
BRA
32%
22%
46%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
PAR
0 - 1
BRA
38%
22%
40%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
CHI
1 - 3
PAR
57%
20%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
PAR
4 - 0
CHI
63%
18%
19%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1953 |
PAR
3 - 2
BRA
33%
22%
45%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1953 |
PAR
2 - 1
BRA
32%
22%
46%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |