Brazil vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.3%
12.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1949 |
PAR
2 - 1
BRA
39%
21%
40%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
5 - 1
URU
65%
17%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
7 - 1
PER
75%
14%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
5 - 0
COL
81%
11%
8%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHI
78%
13%
10%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1949 |
PAR
2 - 1
BRA
39%
21%
40%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
PAR
7 - 0
BOL
78%
13%
9%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1949 |
PAR
4 - 2
CHI
64%
18%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1949 |
URU
2 - 1
PAR
63%
18%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1949 |
PAR
3 - 1
PER
55%
20%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |