Brazil vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
10.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1946 |
BRA
4 - 3
URU
60%
18%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1946 |
BRA
3 - 0
BOL
83%
11%
7%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1946 |
URU
1 - 1
BRA
48%
21%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1946 |
URU
4 - 3
BRA
47%
22%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
BRA
3 - 1
ARG
46%
22%
33%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1946 |
PAR
4 - 2
BOL
71%
16%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1946 |
CHI
2 - 1
PAR
54%
21%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1946 |
ARG
2 - 0
PAR
75%
15%
10%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 1945 |
PAR
1 - 3
ARG
33%
23%
44%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1945 |
PAR
5 - 1
ARG
31%
23%
46%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | +2 |