Brazil vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
17.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1937 |
BRA
6 - 4
CHI
71%
16%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1936 |
BRA
3 - 2
PER
63%
19%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1935 |
CRC
6 - 0
BRA
50%
21%
29%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1935 |
MEX
8 - 2
BRA
53%
21%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1935 |
BRA
0 - 0
GTM
77%
13%
10%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1937 |
ARG
6 - 1
PAR
66%
19%
16%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1937 |
PAR
4 - 2
URU
38%
23%
40%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 1931 |
ARG
3 - 1
PAR
66%
19%
14%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1931 |
ARG
1 - 1
PAR
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1931 |
PAR
1 - 1
ARG
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |