Brazil vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1923 |
ARG
2 - 0
BRA
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1923 |
ARG
0 - 2
BRA
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1923 |
URU
2 - 1
BRA
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1923 |
BRA
2 - 0
PAR
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1923 |
ARG
2 - 1
BRA
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1925 |
ARG
2 - 0
PAR
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1925 |
PAR
0 - 0
URU
40%
23%
36%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1925 |
PAR
0 - 1
URU
41%
23%
36%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1925 |
PAR
1 - 0
URU
39%
23%
38%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1925 |
URU
0 - 1
PAR
69%
17%
14%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |