Brazil vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
19.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1922 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1921 |
URU
2 - 1
BRA
65%
19%
17%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1921 |
ARG
1 - 0
BRA
59%
21%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1920 |
ARG
3 - 1
BRA
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1920 |
ARG
2 - 0
BRA
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1922 |
ARG
3 - 3
PAR
63%
20%
17%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1921 |
URU
4 - 2
PAR
73%
16%
12%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1921 |
ARG
3 - 0
PAR
64%
20%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1921 |
PAR
2 - 1
URU
43%
23%
34%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1921 |
PAR
2 - 2
ARG
48%
23%
29%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |