Brazil vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.5%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.8%
4-0
10%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.2%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.9%
3.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1982 |
BRA
4 - 1
SCO
83%
11%
6%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1982 |
BRA
2 - 1
SUN
74%
15%
10%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1982 |
BRA
7 - 0
IRL
87%
11%
2%
|
95 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1982 |
BRA
1 - 1
SUI
88%
10%
2%
|
95 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1982 |
BRA
3 - 1
POR
83%
13%
4%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1982 |
SUN
3 - 0
NZL
86%
10%
5%
|
65 | 92 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1982 |
SCO
5 - 2
NZL
79%
13%
8%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
NZL
1 - 2
HUN
11%
20%
69%
|
66 | 90 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1982 |
NZL
1 - 2
HUN
12%
21%
67%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
JPN
0 - 1
NZL
62%
19%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |