Brazil vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2003 |
USA
1 - 2
BRA
9%
16%
74%
|
99 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
COL
0 - 2
BRA
9%
16%
75%
|
99 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
BRA
2 - 1
HND
93%
5%
2%
|
99 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
MEX
1 - 0
BRA
8%
15%
77%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2003 |
BRA
2 - 2
TUR
94%
5%
1%
|
99 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2003 |
MEX
2 - 0
CRC
68%
19%
14%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
MEX
5 - 0
JAM
85%
11%
4%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2003 |
HND
0 - 0
MEX
23%
25%
52%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
MEX
1 - 0
BRA
8%
15%
77%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
MEX
1 - 2
SLV
81%
14%
5%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | -1 |