Brazil vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1997 |
BRA
5 - 0
CRC
88%
9%
3%
|
99 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1997 |
ENG
0 - 1
BRA
33%
27%
40%
|
98 | 97 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
ITA
3 - 3
BRA
32%
27%
41%
|
98 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1997 |
FRA
1 - 1
BRA
38%
26%
36%
|
98 | 97 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1997 |
NOR
4 - 2
BRA
15%
23%
62%
|
99 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1997 |
MEX
2 - 1
COL
58%
24%
18%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
SLV
0 - 1
MEX
19%
27%
53%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1997 |
BRA
4 - 0
MEX
80%
14%
7%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
USA
2 - 2
MEX
34%
28%
38%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
MEX
6 - 0
JAM
75%
17%
8%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |