Brazil vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1970 |
BRA
4 - 1
ITA
70%
17%
13%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1970 |
BRA
3 - 1
URU
81%
12%
8%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1970 |
BRA
4 - 2
PER
82%
11%
7%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1970 |
BRA
3 - 2
ROU
84%
10%
6%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
BRA
1 - 0
ENG
64%
18%
18%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1970 |
ITA
4 - 1
MEX
81%
12%
8%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1970 |
MEX
1 - 0
BEL
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
MEX
4 - 0
SLV
77%
14%
9%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1970 |
MEX
0 - 0
SUN
56%
23%
22%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1970 |
MEX
3 - 3
PER
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |