Brazil vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
14%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14%
11.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
BRA
4 - 1
PAR
78%
13%
10%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHI
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
PAR
0 - 1
BRA
38%
22%
40%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
CHI
0 - 2
BRA
35%
22%
44%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1953 |
PAR
3 - 2
BRA
33%
22%
45%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
MEX
0 - 3
PER
66%
17%
17%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1952 |
MEX
4 - 2
PAN
67%
16%
18%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
MEX
0 - 2
BRA
44%
21%
35%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1952 |
CHI
4 - 0
MEX
49%
21%
30%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
MEX
1 - 3
URU
58%
19%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |