Brazil vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1994 |
SWE
0 - 1
BRA
41%
26%
33%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1994 |
NED
2 - 3
BRA
44%
26%
30%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1994 |
BRA
1 - 0
USA
83%
12%
5%
|
96 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1994 |
BRA
1 - 1
SWE
70%
18%
12%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1994 |
BRA
3 - 0
CMR
83%
12%
5%
|
96 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 1994 |
BGR
1 - 2
ITA
37%
29%
35%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1994 |
ITA
2 - 1
ESP
52%
26%
22%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1994 |
NGA
1 - 2
ITA
26%
30%
44%
|
95 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1994 |
ITA
1 - 1
MEX
62%
24%
14%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1994 |
ITA
1 - 0
NOR
67%
21%
12%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |