Brazil vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
BRA
1 - 1
PAR
81%
14%
5%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
PAR
0 - 1
BRA
18%
25%
57%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1977 |
BRA
6 - 0
COL
84%
13%
4%
|
93 | 64 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
COL
0 - 0
BRA
14%
23%
63%
|
93 | 63 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
BRA
1 - 0
BGR
79%
15%
6%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1977 |
ENG
1 - 2
SCO
72%
18%
10%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1977 |
ENG
0 - 1
WAL
86%
11%
3%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1977 |
NIR
1 - 2
ENG
22%
26%
52%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1977 |
ENG
5 - 0
LUX
89%
9%
2%
|
91 | 43 | 48 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1977 |
ENG
0 - 2
NED
74%
17%
9%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |