Brazil vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
18%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1970 |
BRA
4 - 1
CSK
77%
14%
10%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1970 |
BRA
1 - 0
AUT
81%
13%
7%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
BRA
0 - 0
BGR
82%
12%
6%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAR
84%
11%
5%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1970 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHI
84%
11%
5%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1970 |
ENG
1 - 0
ROU
86%
9%
5%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1970 |
ECU
0 - 2
ENG
17%
22%
61%
|
91 | 55 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1970 |
COL
0 - 4
ENG
17%
22%
61%
|
91 | 58 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1970 |
SCO
0 - 0
ENG
31%
25%
44%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1970 |
ENG
3 - 1
NIR
86%
10%
4%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |