Brazil vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1969 |
BRA
3 - 2
PER
83%
11%
6%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1969 |
BRA
2 - 1
PER
83%
11%
6%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1968 |
BRA
3 - 2
YUG
73%
16%
11%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1968 |
BRA
3 - 3
YUG
73%
16%
11%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1968 |
BRA
2 - 2
GER
66%
18%
16%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
URU
1 - 2
ENG
28%
25%
47%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
MEX
0 - 0
ENG
24%
24%
52%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1969 |
ENG
4 - 1
SCO
76%
14%
10%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1969 |
ENG
2 - 1
WAL
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1969 |
NIR
1 - 3
ENG
23%
23%
54%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |