Brazil vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
25.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1963 |
ISR
0 - 5
BRA
27%
23%
50%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1963 |
EGY
0 - 1
BRA
28%
23%
49%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
ITA
3 - 0
BRA
49%
22%
29%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1963 |
ENG
1 - 1
BRA
57%
19%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
BRD
1 - 2
BRA
41%
23%
37%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1964 |
USA
0 - 10
ENG
25%
20%
54%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
IRL
1 - 3
ENG
28%
21%
51%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
PRT
3 - 4
ENG
20%
20%
60%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1964 |
ENG
2 - 1
URY
80%
12%
9%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1964 |
SCT
1 - 0
ENG
35%
22%
43%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |