Brazil vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 7
GER
50%
22%
28%
|
97 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 1
COL
77%
16%
8%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHI
77%
15%
8%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2014 |
CMR
1 - 4
BRA
4%
10%
86%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 0
MEX
78%
15%
8%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2014 |
NED
0 - 0
ARG
43%
24%
33%
|
95 | 95 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
NED
0 - 0
CRC
82%
13%
5%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
NED
2 - 1
MEX
64%
20%
16%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2014 |
NED
2 - 0
CHI
64%
20%
16%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
AUS
2 - 3
NED
10%
17%
74%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |