Brazil vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
12%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
12%
3.7%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
BRA
4 - 0
HTI
92%
6%
2%
|
92 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1974 |
BRA
2 - 0
ROU
80%
15%
6%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1974 |
BRA
1 - 0
BGR
78%
15%
7%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
BRA
1 - 0
CSK
75%
17%
8%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
BRA
1 - 1
MEX
80%
14%
6%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1973 |
GRC
2 - 4
YUG
28%
26%
47%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
FRA
3 - 1
GRC
68%
18%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1973 |
ESP
3 - 1
GRC
82%
13%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1973 |
GRC
2 - 2
BGR
35%
25%
41%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1973 |
GRC
2 - 3
ESP
31%
28%
41%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |