Brazil vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1958 |
BRA
1 - 0
WAL
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1958 |
BRA
2 - 0
SUN
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1958 |
BRA
0 - 0
ENG
64%
18%
18%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1958 |
BRA
3 - 0
AUT
76%
14%
11%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
BRA
3 - 1
BGR
84%
10%
5%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1958 |
FRA
4 - 0
NIR
83%
10%
7%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1958 |
FRA
2 - 1
SCO
66%
18%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1958 |
YUG
3 - 2
FRA
82%
11%
8%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1958 |
FRA
7 - 3
PAR
77%
13%
10%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1958 |
FRA
0 - 0
SUI
73%
15%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |