Brazil vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.7%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
3.9%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1986 |
BRA
3 - 0
DDR
69%
19%
11%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1986 |
BRA
4 - 0
PER
82%
14%
5%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
HUN
3 - 0
BRA
42%
27%
32%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1986 |
BRD
2 - 0
BRA
53%
24%
23%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 1985 |
BRA
1 - 1
BOL
87%
10%
3%
|
94 | 64 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1986 |
KSA
0 - 1
FIN
72%
17%
12%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1986 |
BHR
0 - 4
FIN
46%
25%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 1986 |
BHR
0 - 0
FIN
48%
22%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1986 |
POR
1 - 1
FIN
79%
14%
8%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1985 |
FIN
1 - 0
TUR
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |