Brazil vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
18.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.9%
3.7%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1991 |
BRA
2 - 1
CSK
67%
21%
12%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1991 |
BRA
3 - 1
YUG
62%
22%
16%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1991 |
WAL
1 - 0
BRA
21%
27%
52%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 1991 |
BRA
2 - 0
CHI
75%
17%
8%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1991 |
BRA
2 - 0
COL
77%
16%
7%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1992 |
SLV
2 - 0
USA
36%
27%
38%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1992 |
CRC
0 - 0
USA
62%
21%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
USA
2 - 1
SUN
21%
29%
50%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1992 |
USA
0 - 1
SUN
21%
28%
51%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
USA
1 - 1
CRC
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |