Brazil vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1990 |
BRA
1 - 0
CRC
80%
14%
6%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1990 |
BRA
2 - 1
SWE
69%
19%
12%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
BRA
3 - 3
DDR
73%
18%
9%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1990 |
BRA
2 - 1
BGR
83%
12%
4%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
ENG
1 - 0
BRA
41%
28%
32%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1990 |
SWE
1 - 2
SCO
59%
24%
17%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1990 |
CRC
1 - 0
SCO
43%
28%
29%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1990 |
MLT
1 - 2
SCO
13%
22%
65%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1990 |
SCO
1 - 1
POL
46%
28%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1990 |
SCO
1 - 3
EGY
65%
23%
12%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |