Brazil vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
10.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1977 |
BRA
3 - 1
POL
70%
20%
11%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1977 |
BRA
1 - 1
BRD
52%
25%
23%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1977 |
BRA
0 - 0
ENG
61%
23%
17%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
BRA
1 - 1
PAR
81%
14%
5%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
PAR
0 - 1
BRA
18%
25%
57%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1977 |
ARG
1 - 1
SCO
60%
23%
17%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1977 |
CHI
2 - 4
SCO
36%
27%
37%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1977 |
ENG
1 - 2
SCO
72%
18%
10%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1977 |
SCO
3 - 0
NIR
73%
18%
8%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1977 |
WAL
0 - 0
SCO
32%
28%
40%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |