Brazil vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
8.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
URU
0 - 0
BRA
23%
22%
55%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
COL
65%
20%
15%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 4
BRA
6%
14%
80%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
CRC
86%
11%
4%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
USA
1 - 1
BRA
20%
22%
58%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
ARG
1 - 1
ECU
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
MEX
0 - 0
ECU
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
ECU
3 - 1
JAM
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
ECU
1 - 2
VEN
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
ECU
2 - 1
HND
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |