Brazil vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
2.9%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 2
PAR
85%
11%
4%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 0
VEN
90%
8%
2%
|
99 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 0
ROU
76%
16%
8%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 0
NED
52%
23%
24%
|
99 | 99 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 0
SCO
82%
13%
5%
|
99 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
VEN
1 - 0
ECU
38%
25%
37%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 0
ECU
50%
25%
25%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
ECU
1 - 1
GRC
49%
26%
25%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
ECU
1 - 1
GRC
49%
26%
25%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
CAN
2 - 2
ECU
29%
29%
42%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |