Brazil vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.2%
3.2%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1997 |
JPN
0 - 3
BRA
13%
21%
67%
|
99 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1997 |
KOR
1 - 2
BRA
13%
22%
66%
|
99 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1997 |
BOL
1 - 3
BRA
14%
21%
66%
|
99 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1997 |
BRA
7 - 0
PER
89%
9%
2%
|
99 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1997 |
BRA
2 - 0
PAR
84%
11%
4%
|
99 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
ECU
2 - 1
PAR
40%
28%
32%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1997 |
USA
0 - 1
ECU
55%
25%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1997 |
COL
1 - 0
ECU
62%
24%
15%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1997 |
VEN
1 - 1
ECU
22%
26%
52%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1997 |
MEX
1 - 1
ECU
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |