Brazil vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.7%
Win probability
3.94
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.6%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.8%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.2%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.9%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.1%
4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1959 |
URU
3 - 0
BRA
48%
23%
29%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1959 |
BRA
3 - 2
PAR
85%
9%
6%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHI
87%
9%
4%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1959 |
BRA
7 - 0
CHI
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1959 |
BRA
2 - 0
ENG
56%
20%
24%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1959 |
ARG
1 - 1
ECU
85%
10%
6%
|
47 | 90 | 43 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1959 |
URU
4 - 0
ECU
86%
9%
5%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1957 |
COL
4 - 1
ECU
87%
8%
5%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
CHI
2 - 2
ECU
92%
6%
3%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1957 |
BRA
7 - 1
ECU
93%
5%
2%
|
47 | 87 | 40 | 0 |