Brazil vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
3.68
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.9%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.8%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
9%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.2%
4.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
URU
4 - 2
BRA
47%
22%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
URU
1 - 1
BRA
47%
21%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1947 |
BRA
3 - 2
URU
64%
17%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1947 |
BRA
0 - 0
URU
63%
17%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
ARG
2 - 0
BRA
64%
18%
18%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
4 - 0
ECU
79%
12%
9%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
2 - 0
ECU
84%
11%
6%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1947 |
PER
0 - 0
ECU
79%
12%
8%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1947 |
URU
6 - 1
ECU
81%
12%
7%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1947 |
ECU
0 - 3
CHI
37%
22%
41%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |