Brazil vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
8.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1942 |
URU
1 - 0
BRA
53%
20%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1942 |
BRA
2 - 1
PER
61%
19%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1942 |
ARG
2 - 1
BRA
64%
18%
17%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1942 |
BRA
6 - 1
CHI
73%
15%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
BRA
1 - 1
URU
55%
20%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1942 |
PER
2 - 1
ECU
74%
15%
11%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
70%
16%
14%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1942 |
ARG
12 - 0
ECU
77%
14%
9%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
URU
7 - 0
ECU
74%
15%
11%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
PER
4 - 0
ECU
72%
15%
13%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |