Brazil vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHI
77%
15%
8%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2014 |
CMR
1 - 4
BRA
4%
10%
86%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 0
MEX
78%
15%
8%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2014 |
BRA
3 - 1
CRO
75%
16%
9%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 0
SRB
88%
10%
3%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
COL
2 - 0
URU
42%
24%
34%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2014 |
JPN
1 - 4
COL
36%
27%
38%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2014 |
COL
2 - 1
CIV
56%
23%
22%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
COL
3 - 0
GRC
57%
23%
19%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
COL
3 - 0
JOR
79%
16%
6%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |