Brazil vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
3.7%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
VEN
0 - 6
BRA
9%
19%
72%
|
100 | 67 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
BRA
5 - 0
BOL
88%
9%
3%
|
100 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2000 |
CHI
3 - 0
BRA
17%
22%
61%
|
100 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2000 |
BRA
3 - 1
ARG
71%
18%
12%
|
100 | 97 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2000 |
PAR
2 - 1
BRA
13%
21%
66%
|
100 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
COL
0 - 2
PAR
49%
26%
24%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
CHI
0 - 1
COL
59%
23%
18%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2000 |
COL
1 - 0
URU
45%
27%
29%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2000 |
ECU
0 - 0
COL
39%
28%
33%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2000 |
PER
0 - 1
COL
38%
28%
34%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |