Brazil vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
6.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 1991 |
ARG
3 - 2
BRA
38%
28%
34%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1991 |
BRA
3 - 1
ECU
81%
14%
5%
|
94 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1991 |
COL
2 - 0
BRA
27%
28%
46%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 1991 |
BRA
1 - 1
URU
73%
18%
9%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1991 |
BRA
2 - 1
BOL
80%
14%
6%
|
95 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 1991 |
CHI
1 - 1
COL
62%
23%
15%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1991 |
URU
1 - 0
COL
63%
24%
14%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1991 |
COL
2 - 0
BRA
27%
28%
46%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 1991 |
COL
0 - 0
BOL
64%
22%
14%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1991 |
COL
1 - 0
ECU
64%
23%
13%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |