Brazil vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
4.9%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1989 |
BRA
0 - 0
PER
84%
12%
4%
|
95 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1989 |
BRA
3 - 1
VEN
85%
11%
4%
|
95 | 62 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1989 |
SUI
1 - 0
BRA
15%
26%
59%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
DEN
4 - 0
BRA
30%
27%
43%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1989 |
SWE
2 - 1
BRA
26%
28%
45%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1989 |
COL
0 - 1
PAR
45%
28%
27%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1989 |
VEN
2 - 4
COL
36%
30%
34%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1989 |
COL
4 - 0
HTI
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1989 |
USA
0 - 1
COL
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1989 |
COL
1 - 0
ARG
27%
27%
46%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |