Brazil vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
16%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
17.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.1%
2.7%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1984 |
FRA
2 - 0
BRA
38%
28%
34%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1984 |
ITA
1 - 2
BRA
40%
28%
33%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1984 |
BRA
1 - 1
CAN
80%
14%
6%
|
95 | 66 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1984 |
MAR
0 - 2
BRA
22%
28%
50%
|
95 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1984 |
BRA
1 - 0
BRD
54%
24%
22%
|
95 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1985 |
COL
2 - 2
PAR
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1985 |
COL
1 - 0
PAR
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1985 |
PAR
0 - 3
COL
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
URU
3 - 0
COL
73%
19%
8%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1985 |
CHI
1 - 1
COL
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |