Brazil vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
15%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18.2%
2-0
18.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.3%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.9%
3.6%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
COL
0 - 0
BRA
14%
23%
63%
|
93 | 63 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
BRA
1 - 0
BGR
79%
15%
6%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1976 |
BRA
2 - 0
SUN
69%
21%
11%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1976 |
SUN
2 - 0
BRA
44%
24%
32%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1976 |
POL
2 - 0
BRA
43%
24%
33%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
PAR
1 - 1
COL
71%
17%
12%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1977 |
COL
0 - 1
PAR
36%
25%
40%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
COL
0 - 0
BRA
14%
23%
63%
|
63 | 93 | 30 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1977 |
COL
0 - 1
YUG
14%
21%
66%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1977 |
ECU
4 - 1
COL
53%
23%
25%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |