Brazil vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1969 |
PAR
0 - 3
BRA
23%
25%
52%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1969 |
VEN
0 - 5
BRA
19%
22%
59%
|
91 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1969 |
COL
0 - 2
BRA
18%
22%
60%
|
91 | 59 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1969 |
BRA
2 - 1
ENG
54%
22%
24%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1969 |
BRA
3 - 2
PER
83%
11%
6%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1969 |
COL
0 - 1
PAR
30%
21%
48%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1969 |
COL
0 - 2
BRA
18%
22%
60%
|
59 | 91 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1969 |
VEN
1 - 1
COL
67%
17%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1969 |
COL
3 - 0
VEN
48%
21%
31%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 1969 |
COL
3 - 3
CHI
29%
22%
49%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | +1 |