Brazil vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
7.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHI
78%
13%
10%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
10 - 1
BOL
86%
9%
5%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
9 - 1
ECU
87%
8%
5%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
URU
4 - 2
BRA
47%
22%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
URU
1 - 1
BRA
47%
21%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
PER
4 - 0
COL
66%
17%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
PAR
3 - 0
COL
63%
18%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1947 |
CHI
4 - 1
COL
59%
19%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1947 |
PER
5 - 1
COL
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
2 - 0
COL
56%
20%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |