Brazil vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
14.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1944 |
BRA
4 - 0
URU
53%
20%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1944 |
BRA
6 - 1
URU
51%
20%
29%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1942 |
BRA
1 - 1
PAR
70%
16%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1942 |
BRA
5 - 1
ECU
79%
12%
8%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1942 |
URU
1 - 0
BRA
53%
20%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1938 |
BOL
2 - 1
COL
44%
22%
34%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1938 |
COL
2 - 0
VEN
64%
18%
18%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 1938 |
COL
1 - 2
ECU
60%
19%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1938 |
COL
2 - 4
PER
62%
19%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1938 |
COL
1 - 2
VEN
66%
18%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |