Brazil vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
7.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2014 |
CMR
1 - 4
BRA
4%
10%
86%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 0
MEX
78%
15%
8%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2014 |
BRA
3 - 1
CRO
75%
16%
9%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 0
SRB
88%
10%
3%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2014 |
BRA
4 - 0
PAN
89%
9%
2%
|
97 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2014 |
NED
2 - 0
CHI
64%
20%
16%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 2
CHI
72%
17%
10%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 1
AUS
63%
20%
17%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 0
NIR
85%
11%
4%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 2
EGY
65%
20%
15%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |