Brazil vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
6.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
HND
0 - 5
BRA
6%
15%
79%
|
97 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 0
ZAM
92%
7%
1%
|
98 | 77 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
KOR
0 - 2
BRA
8%
17%
75%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 1
POR
73%
17%
10%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BRA
6 - 0
AUS
84%
12%
4%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
ENG
0 - 2
CHI
69%
19%
12%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 1
ECU
57%
23%
20%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
COL
3 - 3
CHI
50%
26%
25%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 2
CHI
81%
14%
6%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 0
VEN
72%
18%
11%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |