Brazil vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
5.2%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1986 |
BRA
4 - 2
YUG
70%
19%
11%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1986 |
BRA
3 - 0
FIN
84%
12%
4%
|
94 | 61 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1986 |
BRA
3 - 0
DDR
69%
19%
11%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1986 |
BRA
4 - 0
PER
82%
14%
5%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
HUN
3 - 0
BRA
42%
27%
32%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1985 |
CHI
2 - 2
PAR
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
PAR
3 - 0
CHI
47%
28%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
PER
0 - 1
CHI
46%
28%
26%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
CHI
4 - 2
PER
62%
23%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1985 |
CHI
0 - 0
PAR
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |