Brazil vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
16.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
18.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
20.5%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.5%
2.6%
Win probability
0.29
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1982 |
ITA
3 - 2
BRA
43%
25%
32%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1982 |
ARG
1 - 3
BRA
46%
24%
30%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1982 |
BRA
4 - 0
NZL
89%
8%
4%
|
96 | 65 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1982 |
BRA
4 - 1
SCO
83%
11%
6%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1982 |
BRA
2 - 1
SUN
74%
15%
10%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1982 |
ALG
3 - 2
CHI
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1982 |
BRD
4 - 1
CHI
89%
8%
4%
|
81 | 94 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1982 |
CHI
0 - 1
AUT
51%
25%
25%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1982 |
CHI
1 - 0
IRL
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1982 |
CHI
2 - 3
ROU
51%
27%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |