Brazil vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
15%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
18.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.6%
3.6%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1980 |
BRA
1 - 2
SUN
67%
21%
12%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1980 |
BRA
2 - 0
MEX
81%
14%
5%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1979 |
BRA
2 - 2
PAR
82%
11%
7%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1979 |
PAR
2 - 1
BRA
28%
27%
46%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1979 |
ARG
2 - 2
BRA
50%
23%
27%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1979 |
CHI
0 - 0
PAR
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1979 |
CHI
1 - 0
PAR
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1979 |
PAR
3 - 0
CHI
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1979 |
CHI
0 - 0
PER
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
PER
1 - 2
CHI
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |