Brazil vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
5.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
BRA
2 - 1
ARG
73%
17%
11%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1970 |
BRA
0 - 2
ARG
75%
15%
9%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
BRA
1 - 0
PAR
84%
11%
6%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1969 |
BRA
6 - 0
VEN
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1969 |
BRA
6 - 2
COL
87%
9%
4%
|
90 | 59 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1969 |
URU
2 - 0
CHI
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1969 |
ECU
1 - 1
CHI
28%
22%
51%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1969 |
CHI
4 - 1
ECU
78%
14%
9%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1969 |
COL
3 - 3
CHI
29%
22%
49%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1969 |
CHI
0 - 0
URU
51%
23%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |