Brazil vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.3%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.8%
4.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1962 |
BRA
3 - 1
ENG
72%
15%
13%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1962 |
BRA
2 - 1
ESP
78%
13%
9%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1962 |
BRA
0 - 0
CSK
82%
11%
7%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1962 |
BRA
2 - 0
MEX
85%
10%
6%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1962 |
BRA
3 - 1
WAL
87%
9%
4%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1962 |
CHI
2 - 1
SUN
70%
16%
14%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1962 |
BRD
2 - 0
CHI
76%
14%
10%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1962 |
CHI
2 - 0
ITA
56%
20%
24%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1962 |
CHI
3 - 1
SUI
74%
14%
12%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1961 |
CHI
0 - 0
HUN
15%
17%
68%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |