Brazil vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.9%
4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1959 |
BRA
7 - 0
CHI
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1959 |
BRA
2 - 0
ENG
56%
20%
24%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1959 |
ARG
1 - 1
BRA
65%
18%
17%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
BRA
4 - 1
PAR
85%
9%
6%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1959 |
BRA
3 - 1
URU
77%
13%
11%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1959 |
BRA
7 - 0
CHI
86%
10%
4%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1959 |
CHI
1 - 0
URU
51%
21%
28%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1959 |
CHI
5 - 2
BOL
79%
12%
9%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1959 |
CHI
1 - 1
PER
63%
19%
19%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
BRA
3 - 0
CHI
86%
9%
5%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | -1 |