Brazil vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
3.63
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.2%
4.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1956 |
BRA
4 - 1
CSK
73%
15%
12%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1956 |
BRA
0 - 1
CSK
75%
14%
11%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1956 |
ARG
0 - 0
BRA
62%
19%
19%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1956 |
BRA
2 - 0
ITA
62%
19%
19%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1956 |
BRA
2 - 0
URY
66%
17%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1956 |
CHL
3 - 0
CSK
51%
21%
28%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
MEX
2 - 1
CHL
66%
18%
17%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1956 |
CHL
2 - 2
PER
58%
20%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
ARG
3 - 0
CHL
79%
13%
8%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1956 |
CHL
1 - 2
CRI
49%
21%
30%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |