Brazil vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
PAR
0 - 1
BRA
38%
22%
40%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
CHI
0 - 2
BRA
35%
22%
44%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1953 |
PAR
3 - 2
BRA
33%
22%
45%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1953 |
PAR
2 - 1
BRA
32%
22%
46%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1953 |
BRA
3 - 2
CHI
80%
12%
8%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
CHI
0 - 2
BRA
35%
22%
44%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
CHI
1 - 3
PAR
57%
20%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
PAR
4 - 0
CHI
63%
18%
19%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 1953 |
PER
5 - 0
CHI
65%
18%
17%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 1953 |
PER
1 - 2
CHI
67%
17%
16%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |