Brazil vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
8.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1953 |
PER
1 - 0
BRA
37%
22%
42%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
BRA
1 - 0
URU
70%
15%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1953 |
BRA
2 - 0
ECU
88%
8%
4%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
BRA
8 - 1
BOL
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 1952 |
BRD
4 - 2
BRA
39%
22%
39%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1953 |
CHI
3 - 0
ECU
83%
11%
7%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1953 |
CHI
0 - 0
PER
55%
20%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
CHI
3 - 2
URU
42%
21%
37%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1953 |
PAR
3 - 0
CHI
58%
20%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 1952 |
EGY
5 - 4
CHI
55%
20%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |